Vasco da Gama 1-1 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.61
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.72
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.33 — our 37% vs market 35.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
58%
-16.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+11.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.12/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.28
-35% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
19.5 Crosses 12.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasco da Gama
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Operario PR
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.85 xG 0.76
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 Passes 260
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2025 Operario PR Operario PR 1-1 HT 0-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BRK
05.10.2022 Operario PR Operario PR 2-3 HT 1-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR2
25.06.2022 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 3-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
22.08.2021 Operario PR Operario PR 2-0 HT 2-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR2
29.05.2021 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-2 HT 0-2 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasco da Gama
1-1
AWAY Operario PR
0.77 xG 0.73
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
400 Passes 347
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Vasco da Gama vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasco da Gama and Operario PR shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vasco da Gama at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Vasco da Gama had 53% of the ball to Operario PR's 47%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 0.77 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.40 for Operario PR.

What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Operario PR?

Vasco da Gama 1-1 Operario PR in the Brazil - Cup on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 42%, draw 31%, Operario PR 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vasco da Gama), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vasco da Gama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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