Sao Paulo vs Nautico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sao Paulo v Nautico — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs Nautico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sao Paulo 2-1 Nautico — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Paulo squeezed past Nautico 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, possession split 58% to 42% in Sao Paulo's favour, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 0.92 to 0.28.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Sao Paulo against 0.83 for Nautico.
Sao Paulo vs Nautico Result & Final Score
Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Nautico in the Brazil - Cup on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sao Paulo vs Nautico Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 77%, draw 15%, Nautico 7%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.