Maringa 2-2 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.68
Over 2.5
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
18%
+14.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
40%
Away Win
55%
-15.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.0pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maringa EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 59%
+57% / +57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.35
+21% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -41%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
Crosses 20.1
6.0 Yellow Cards 3.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maringa
2-2
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.91 xG 1.21
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
114 Passes 197
63% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maringa vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maringa and Atletico Mineiro couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maringa had 43% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 57%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 0.91 to 1.21.

What was the final score of Maringa vs Atletico Mineiro?

Maringa 2-2 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Cup on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maringa vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Maringa 33%, draw 27%, Atletico Mineiro 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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