Fluminense vs Aparecidense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Fluminense v Aparecidense — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense 1-0 Aparecidense — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Aparecidense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 82%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals card split: no to both teams scoring (61%) came in, over 2.5 goals (57%) didn't.
By the numbers, Fluminense had 67% of the ball to Aparecidense's 33%, shots finished 26-9, expected goals 2.09 to 0.68 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fluminense's control.
Fluminense vs Aparecidense Result & Final Score
Fluminense 1 - 0 Aparecidense in the Brazil - Cup on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Fluminense vs Aparecidense Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 82%, draw 13%, Aparecidense 6%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.