Internacional 1-0 Maracana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
82%
-21.9pp
21%
Draw
11%
+9.5pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+12.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Maracana EU Bookmakers 9%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
448 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.1 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
1-0
AWAY Maracana
3.03 xG 0.04
72% Ball Possession 28%
30 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 0
580 Passes 184
89% Pass Accuracy 67%
46 Box Touches 1
73 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Maracana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional nicked a narrow win over Maracana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Internacional had 72% of the ball to Maracana's 28%, shots finished 30-2, expected goals 3.03 to 0.04 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Internacional's control.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Maracana?

Internacional 1-0 Maracana in the Brazil - Cup on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Maracana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Internacional 60%, draw 21%, Maracana 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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