Club Olimpia 3-1 Vasco da Gama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 21 May 2026

📅21/05/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
22.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 35% vs market 32.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.73
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.95
X/1
21%
4.37
X/2
6%
7.48
X/X
15%
4.04
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
8%
6.22
2/X
6%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 11.5
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Olimpia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vasco da Gama
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.79 xG 1.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
322 Passes 364
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.05.2026 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 3-0 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Olimpia
3-1
AWAY Vasco da Gama
2.32 xG 0.60
76% Ball Possession 24%
29 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 3
527 Passes 124
87% Pass Accuracy 64%
60 Box Touches 17
46 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Club Olimpia vs Vasco da Gama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Olimpia beat Vasco da Gama 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club Olimpia had 76% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 24%, shots finished 29-6, expected goals 2.32 to 0.60.

What was the final score of Club Olimpia vs Vasco da Gama?

Club Olimpia 3-1 Vasco da Gama in the Copa Sudamericana on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Olimpia vs Vasco da Gama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Club Olimpia 49%, draw 30%, Vasco da Gama 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Olimpia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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