Gremio 2-0 Palestino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 21 May 2026

Gremio
2-0 HT 1-0
Palestino
📅21/05/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Copa Sudamericana – 2026

Gremio vs Palestino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.31
6+ Goals
8%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 33% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.65
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
19.55
X/1
12%
3.63
X/2
6%
15.15
X/X
11%
6.04
2/1
9%
24.35
2/2
5%
13.85
2/X
6%
22.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
68%
-7.3pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.6pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.1pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gremio v Palestino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gremio EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Palestino EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.30/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.32
-30% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
30.8 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0

Gremio vs Palestino Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gremio
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Palestino
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.44 xG 0.38
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
325 Passes 200
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.04.2026 Palestino Palestino 0-0 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio CSA

Gremio 2-0 Palestino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gremio
2-0
AWAY Palestino
1.74 xG 1.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
348 Passes 243
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gremio vs Palestino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gremio beat Palestino 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gremio as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gremio had 56% of the ball to Palestino's 44%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.74 to 1.36.

What was the final score of Gremio vs Palestino?

Gremio 2-0 Palestino in the Copa Sudamericana on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gremio vs Palestino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Gremio 61%, draw 24%, Palestino 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gremio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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