Pohang Steelers 2-1 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
4.52
6+ Goals
9%
23.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 34% vs market 31.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.49
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
12%
4.23
X/2
8%
8.58
X/X
18%
4.34
2/1
12%
27.5
2/2
8%
7.34
2/X
10%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.1pp
35%
Draw
27%
+7.8pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.67/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.77
+6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.4 Crosses 14.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jeju United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
391 Passes 356
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Jeju United Jeju United 2-0 HT 1-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
28.08.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-1 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
21.08.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 2-2 HT 2-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
13.07.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 2-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
12.05.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
30.03.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 0-2 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
2-1
AWAY Jeju United
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
447 Passes 365
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers squeezed past Jeju United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pohang Steelers as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 54% of the ball to Jeju United's 46%, shots finished 19-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pohang Steelers and 1.33 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United?

Pohang Steelers 2-1 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 43%, draw 35%, Jeju United 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pohang Steelers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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