Avai 1-0 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 21 Jun 2026

Avai
1-0 HT 1-0
Cuiaba
📅21/06/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Avai vs Cuiaba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
5.44
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.5pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avai v Cuiaba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avai EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.08/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.37
+0% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
18.9 Crosses 20.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Avai vs Cuiaba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avai
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cuiaba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.47
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
375 Passes 312
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.08.2025 Avai Avai 2-0 HT 2-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR2
11.04.2025 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-2 HT 1-0 Avai Avai BR2
28.10.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-0 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR1
03.07.2022 Avai Avai 1-2 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
28.11.2020 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-1 HT 1-0 Avai Avai BR2
22.08.2020 Avai Avai 0-2 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR2

Avai 1-0 Cuiaba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avai
1-0
AWAY Cuiaba
0.61 xG 0.74
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 13
222 Passes 372
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 42
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avai vs Cuiaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avai edged past Cuiaba 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Avai found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Avai had 39% of the ball to Cuiaba's 61%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.61 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cuiaba led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Avai and 1.50 for Cuiaba.

What was the final score of Avai vs Cuiaba?

Avai 1-0 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie B on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avai vs Cuiaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Avai 37%, draw 30%, Cuiaba 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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