Ceara 0-1 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 21 Jun 2026

📅21/06/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.7
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.53/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.24
-14% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
24.0 Crosses 17.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Botafogo SP
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.01 xG 0.59
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
327 Passes 292
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.11.2024 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-4 HT 0-1 Ceara Ceara BR2
26.07.2024 Ceara Ceara 4-1 HT 3-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
04.11.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-2 HT 1-1 Ceara Ceara BR2
08.07.2023 Ceara Ceara 3-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
0-1
AWAY Botafogo SP
0.51 xG 1.37
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
308 Passes 237
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ceara vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP squeezed past Ceara 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ceara at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Ceara had 55% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 45%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.51 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ceara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Ceara and 1.00 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of Ceara vs Botafogo SP?

Ceara 0-1 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ceara 52%, draw 26%, Botafogo SP 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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