BG Pathum Utd vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BG Pathum Utd v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals
BG Pathum Utd 4-0 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics
BG Pathum Utd cruised past Borussia Dortmund 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Borussia Dortmund at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.
On the day, BG Pathum Utd had 34% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 66%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.88 to 2.09.
What was the final score of BG Pathum Utd vs Borussia Dortmund?
BG Pathum Utd 4-0 Borussia Dortmund in the Friendlies on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BG Pathum Utd vs Borussia Dortmund?
Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum Utd 17%, draw 21%, Borussia Dortmund 62%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Borussia Dortmund), BTTS Yes went the other way.