Hamburg vs Cardiff City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hamburg v Cardiff City — Team-Based Signals
Hamburg 0-3 Cardiff City — Actual Match Statistics
Cardiff City cruised past Hamburg 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Hamburg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Hamburg had 53% of the ball to Cardiff City's 47%, shots finished 6-17.
What was the final score of Hamburg vs Cardiff City?
Hamburg 0-3 Cardiff City in the Friendlies on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hamburg vs Cardiff City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 43%, draw 26%, Cardiff City 31%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.