Benfica vs Almeria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica v Almeria — Team-Based Signals
Benfica 3-1 Almeria — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica saw off Almeria 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Benfica had 55% of the ball to Almeria's 45%, shots finished 15-12.
What was the final score of Benfica vs Almeria?
Benfica 3-1 Almeria in the Friendlies on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica vs Almeria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Benfica 55%, draw 23%, Almeria 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.