Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-1 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.4pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.56/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.32
+23% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cerro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.06.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-3 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
25.11.2023 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
08.07.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
24.04.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
14.02.2021 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
23.08.2020 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
0-1
AWAY Cerro
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro edged past Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Cerro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 57% of the ball to Cerro's 43%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.00 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-1 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 38%, draw 32%, Cerro 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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