IFK Mariehamn 1-1 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 21 Jul 2025

IFK Mariehamn
1-1 HT 0-1
Haka
📅21/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2025

IFK Mariehamn vs Haka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
9.94
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 26% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.32
1/2
12%
22.45
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
11%
7.67
X/2
8%
4.94
X/X
13%
5.32
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
23%
2.69
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IFK Mariehamn v Haka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 50%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.39/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.96
-23% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
19.4 Crosses 25.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

IFK Mariehamn vs Haka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Haka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.85 xG 1.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
298 Passes 360
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.04.2025 Haka Haka 0-1 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
26.02.2025 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FLK
07.07.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-3 HT 0-2 Haka Haka FİN
07.06.2024 Haka Haka 2-0 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
22.09.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-1 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FİN
11.08.2023 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN

IFK Mariehamn 1-1 Haka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
1-1
AWAY Haka
1.31 xG 0.57
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
287 Passes 300
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
38 Box Touches 17
42 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn and Haka shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Haka at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 50% of the ball to Haka's 50%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.31 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.17 for Haka.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs Haka?

IFK Mariehamn 1-1 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 29%, draw 30%, Haka 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Haka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haka) ✓ Under 2.5
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