Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 21 Jul 2025

📅21/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.1
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.08
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
14%
5.43
X/2
13%
5.56
X/X
9%
3.75
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
16%
4.23
2/X
9%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.4pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.88/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.43
-27% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
16.8 Crosses 22.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.22 xG 0.99
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
228 Passes 244
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2025 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
07.07.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
11.05.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-3 HT 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
26.08.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-0 HT 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
09.04.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
10.07.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
2-2
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.78 xG 1.22
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
307 Passes 203
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka and Kyoto Sanga shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 58% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 42%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.78 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.17 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga?

Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 36%, draw 26%, Kyoto Sanga 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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