FK Orenburg 0-0 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 21 Jul 2025

📅21/07/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
50%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
2.07
Over
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
31%
4.0
2-3
39%
1.89
4-5
20%
3.24
6+
10%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.0 — our 31% vs market 20.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
9.5
1/2
8%
21.9
1/X
8%
17.8
X/1
10%
11.75
X/2
23%
4.08
X/X
11%
5.98
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
19%
1.92
2/X
6%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+7.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
50%
Away Win
60%
-9.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Orenburg EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 64%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.55/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.95
+27% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +11%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
23.2 Crosses 13.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Orenburg
0W-2D-4L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.86 xG 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
380 Passes 298
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
04.08.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 5-1 HT 3-1 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
02.03.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
02.11.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 3-1 HT 2-1 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUK
25.08.2023 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 1-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
26.07.2023 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 0-6 HT 0-4 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Orenburg
0-0
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.44 xG 1.24
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 11
155 Passes 361
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FK Orenburg vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Orenburg and CSKA Moskova fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Moskova at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FK Orenburg had 34% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 66%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.44 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Orenburg and 3.00 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of FK Orenburg vs CSKA Moskova?

FK Orenburg 0-0 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Orenburg vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FK Orenburg 25%, draw 25%, CSKA Moskova 50%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CSKA Moskova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →