Greenville Triumph 2-0 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 21 Jul 2025

📅21/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
30%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.84/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.56
+11% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
19.5 Crosses 16.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenville Triumph
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 1.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
290 Passes 336
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2025 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 3-3 HT 2-2 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
17.08.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-1 HT 1-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
19.05.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-1 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
24.09.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-2 HT 1-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
14.05.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-2 HT 2-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
26.03.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-1 HT 0-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greenville Triumph
2-0
AWAY Richmond Kickers
3.54 xG 0.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
28 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
273 Passes 225
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
33 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenville Triumph beat Richmond Kickers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Greenville Triumph as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Greenville Triumph had 52% of the ball to Richmond Kickers's 48%, shots finished 28-6, expected goals 3.54 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Greenville Triumph and 1.33 for Richmond Kickers.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers?

Greenville Triumph 2-0 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 49%, draw 21%, Richmond Kickers 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenville Triumph), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →