Henan Jianye 1-1 Dalian Zhixing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 21 Jul 2026

📅21/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.21
Over 2.5
41%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.55
No
55%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
41%
+18.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
59%
-18.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
60%
-15.5pp
55%
BTTS No
40%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
288 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 1.19
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
253 Passes 316
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.04.2026 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 2-1 HT 0-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
24.08.2025 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 4-0 HT 4-0 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİNSL
16.04.2025 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 1-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye and Dalian Zhixing couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Henan Jianye at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dalian Zhixing led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Henan Jianye and 1.00 for Dalian Zhixing.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing?

Henan Jianye 1-1 Dalian Zhixing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 21/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Dalian Zhixing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Henan Jianye win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 41%, draw 27%, Dalian Zhixing 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Henan Jianye), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Henan Jianye) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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