Yunnan Yukun 3-3 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 21 Jul 2026

📅21/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
60%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
Over 2.5
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.39
No
29%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
23%
-1.7pp
18%
Draw
22%
-3.7pp
60%
Away Win
55%
+5.4pp
71%
BTTS Yes
68%
+3.5pp
29%
BTTS No
32%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 59%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/0.79
-1% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
379 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 543 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yunnan Yukun
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.31 xG 3.08
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
263 Passes 361
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 33
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2026 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 0-1 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNSL
23.08.2025 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 1-5 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
16.04.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-1 HT 1-0 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNSL
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun and Chengdu Qianbao couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chengdu Qianbao at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (71%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yunnan Yukun and 2.67 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Yunnan Yukun 3-3 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 21/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 21%, draw 18%, Chengdu Qianbao 60%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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