Shanghai Shenhua 4-1 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 21 Jul 2026

📅21/07/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.16
Draw
15%
7.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
82%
-10.8pp
15%
Draw
10%
+4.4pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.9pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+14% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -15%
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
420 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.19 xG 1.08
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
403 Passes 288
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.05.2026 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
22.04.2026 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
17.10.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-2 HT 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
23.08.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-2 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
10.05.2025 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 4-0 HT 3-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
16.04.2025 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 3-2 HT 2-2 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua swept aside Qingdao Jonoon 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shanghai Shenhua as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 0.83 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Shanghai Shenhua 4-1 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 21/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 72%, draw 15%, Qingdao Jonoon 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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