Qingdao Jonoon 1-2 Shanghai Shenhua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.48
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
58%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.24
2-3 Goals
34%
1.97
4-5 Goals
27%
2.55
6+ Goals
16%
5.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.12
1/2 EV+ ✗
14%
18.95
1/X
5%
16.35
X/1
6%
11.4
X/2
18%
4.34
X/X
11%
6.98
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
26%
1.89
2/X
5%
14.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 18.95 — our 14% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+1.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
58%
Away Win
60%
-2.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.83/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/1.03
+12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +5%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
18.6 Crosses 21.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.83 xG 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
288 Passes 369
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-2 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
10.05.2025 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 4-0 HT 3-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
16.04.2025 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 3-2 HT 2-2 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
28.09.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
30.06.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
15.05.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1-2
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.27 xG 2.71
29% Ball Possession 71%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 7
150 Passes 483
68% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 36
18 Crosses 37
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Shenhua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua squeezed past Qingdao Jonoon 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shanghai Shenhua as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 29% of the ball to Shanghai Shenhua's 71%, shots finished 5-20, expected goals 1.27 to 2.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shanghai Shenhua's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 2.17 for Shanghai Shenhua.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Qingdao Jonoon 1-2 Shanghai Shenhua in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 21%, draw 21%, Shanghai Shenhua 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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