Chengdu Qianbao 3-1 Meizhou Hakka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
84%
1.16
Draw
10%
7.13
Away
6%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.94
Over 2.5
66%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
9.12
2-3 Goals
35%
2.46
4-5 Goals
30%
2.25
6+ Goals
19%
3.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1.2
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
3%
31.5
X/1
20%
4.12
X/2
2%
35.0
X/X
5%
14.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
20.75
2/2
2%
31.5
2/X
3%
35.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.75 — our 14% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
84%
Home Win
82%
+1.9pp
11%
Draw
11%
-0.7pp
6%
Away Win
7%
-1.1pp
34%
Under 2.5
22%
+12.6pp
66%
Over 2.5
78%
-12.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
2.71/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.64
-10% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
436 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
34.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
24.8 Crosses 14.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.80 xG 0.98
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
298 Passes 393
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-4 HT 0-3 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
29.09.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 HT 1-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
17.05.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-4 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
04.11.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-0 HT 2-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
07.07.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 3-1 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
19.12.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-0 HT 2-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
3-1
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
3.05 xG 0.15
75% Ball Possession 25%
23 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
507 Passes 137
87% Pass Accuracy 67%
52 Box Touches 2
38 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Meizhou Hakka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao beat Meizhou Hakka 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 84%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 75% of the ball to Meizhou Hakka's 25%, shots finished 23-2, expected goals 3.05 to 0.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 0.67 for Meizhou Hakka.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Meizhou Hakka?

Chengdu Qianbao 3-1 Meizhou Hakka in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Meizhou Hakka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 84%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 84%, draw 11%, Meizhou Hakka 6%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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