Qingdao Jonoon 3-4 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
3.87
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
62%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.98
Over 2.5
68%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.39
No
31%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.01
2-3 Goals
28%
2.19
4-5 Goals
41%
2.34
6+ Goals
10%
4.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
6.57
1/2
5%
17.3
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
8%
10.3
X/2 EV+ ✗
29%
4.73
X/X
12%
7.54
2/1
3%
33.5
2/2
28%
2.02
2/X
6%
13.65
Value flag · X/2 at 4.73 — our 29% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
23%
-7.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
62%
Away Win
57%
+5.2pp
32%
Under 2.5
30%
+1.9pp
68%
Over 2.5
70%
-1.9pp
69%
BTTS Yes
68%
+0.7pp
31%
BTTS No
32%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.83/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.98
+12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 84%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
18.6 Crosses 21.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Shanghai Port
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.52 xG 3.84
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
234 Passes 450
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 47
11 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-2 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
09.05.2025 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 3-1 HT 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
28.03.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-3 HT 3-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
28.09.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-1 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
21.07.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 5-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
18.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-5 HT 1-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
3-4
AWAY Shanghai Port
2.45 xG 2.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 2
378 Passes 337
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port edged past Qingdao Jonoon 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (69%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 53% of the ball to Shanghai Port's 47%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.45 to 2.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 3.33 for Shanghai Port.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Port?

Qingdao Jonoon 3-4 Shanghai Port in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 15%, draw 23%, Shanghai Port 62%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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