San Martin Tucuman 2-1 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 21 Aug 2025

📅21/08/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.52
Over 2.5
31%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.3pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.2pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.1pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+7.5pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-7.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.9pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.17/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.03
-1% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
226 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Corners 7
30.03.2025 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-1 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
30.06.2024 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
12.02.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-2 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
29.03.2022 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
28.06.2021 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman squeezed past Deportivo Maipu 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had San Martin Tucuman as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 0.20 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu?

San Martin Tucuman 2-1 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 41%, draw 33%, Deportivo Maipu 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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