San Martin Tucuman 2-1 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒22:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.44
Over 2.5
43%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.6
No
64%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
66%
-8.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
34%
+8.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
34%
+2.0pp
64%
BTTS No
66%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.37/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.21
+2% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Corners 7
12.02.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-2 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
29.03.2022 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
28.06.2021 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman squeezed past Deportivo Maipu 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had San Martin Tucuman as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 0.00 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu?

San Martin Tucuman 2-1 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 55%, draw 24%, Deportivo Maipu 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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