Chacarita Juniors 1-1 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.54
Over 2.5
48%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.06
No
47%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.2pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.67/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.17
+33% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chacarita Juniors
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
10.02.2024 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-2 HT 0-2 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
10.09.2023 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 3-1 HT 2-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
01.05.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
09.05.2022 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-1 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
11.08.2015 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 2-0 HT 2-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
25.03.2015 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 HT 1-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Chacarita Juniors vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chacarita Juniors and Ferro Carril Oeste shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chacarita Juniors had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chacarita Juniors and 0.50 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Chacarita Juniors vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Chacarita Juniors 1-1 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chacarita Juniors vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chacarita Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chacarita Juniors 37%, draw 28%, Ferro Carril Oeste 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chacarita Juniors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chacarita Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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