Tristan Suarez 2-2 Almirante Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.6pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 24%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.32/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.22
+2% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tristan Suarez
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Almirante Brown
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
11.02.2024 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-2 HT 1-1 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
18.09.2022 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 2-2 HT 2-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
01.09.2019 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBM
09.07.2015 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 5-1 HT 1-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBM
21.02.2015 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 2-0 HT 2-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBM
22.08.2014 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-1 HT 1-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Tristan Suarez vs Almirante Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tristan Suarez and Almirante Brown couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tristan Suarez at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tristan Suarez had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tristan Suarez and 1.17 for Almirante Brown.

What was the final score of Tristan Suarez vs Almirante Brown?

Tristan Suarez 2-2 Almirante Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tristan Suarez vs Almirante Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tristan Suarez win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tristan Suarez 42%, draw 27%, Almirante Brown 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tristan Suarez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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