Guillermo Brown 0-0 Alvarado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.4pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.8pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.9pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvarado EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.06/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.48
-10% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guillermo Brown
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Alvarado
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
12.02.2024 Alvarado Alvarado 2-1 HT 1-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
06.10.2023 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 2-0 HT 1-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
28.05.2023 Alvarado Alvarado 2-0 HT 2-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
03.04.2022 Alvarado Alvarado 1-0 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
03.11.2019 Alvarado Alvarado 0-0 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Guillermo Brown vs Alvarado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guillermo Brown and Alvarado fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 35% / 26%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alvarado led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Guillermo Brown and 1.00 for Alvarado.

What was the final score of Guillermo Brown vs Alvarado?

Guillermo Brown 0-0 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guillermo Brown vs Alvarado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guillermo Brown win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guillermo Brown 39%, draw 35%, Alvarado 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Guillermo Brown) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guillermo Brown) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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