Arsenal Sarandi 0-1 Gimnasia Jujuy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.5pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-4.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.10/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.29
-6% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Sarandi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
11.02.2024 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJPBN
23.05.2009 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJ
15.11.2008 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 0-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
10.03.2008 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 3-3 HT 1-2 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJ
29.08.2007 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
21.04.2007 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJ
POST-MATCH Arsenal Sarandi vs Gimnasia Jujuy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Jujuy nicked a narrow win over Arsenal Sarandi 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Arsenal Sarandi at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Jujuy led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Arsenal Sarandi and 1.00 for Gimnasia Jujuy.

What was the final score of Arsenal Sarandi vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Arsenal Sarandi 0-1 Gimnasia Jujuy in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Sarandi vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Sarandi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Sarandi 43%, draw 33%, Gimnasia Jujuy 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arsenal Sarandi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal Sarandi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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