Deportivo Maipu 0-1 San Martin Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
Over 2.5
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.33
No
70%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
41%
-8.4pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.9pp
30%
BTTS Yes
39%
-8.4pp
70%
BTTS No
61%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +36%
1.23/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.51
+11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +115%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
205 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
0W-0D-4L
AWAY San Martin Tucuman
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 8
7 Corners 1
30.06.2024 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
12.02.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-2 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
29.03.2022 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
28.06.2021 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman edged past Deportivo Maipu 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; San Martin Tucuman found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (70%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Deportivo Maipu and 1.75 for San Martin Tucuman.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman?

Deportivo Maipu 0-1 San Martin Tucuman in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 32%, draw 31%, San Martin Tucuman 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin Tucuman), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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