Smouha 1-1 Masr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 21 Aug 2025

Smouha
1-1 HT 1-1
Masr
📅21/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.63
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.28
Over 2.5
26%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.53
No
65%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
11%
8.32
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.5pp
32%
Draw
35%
-3.0pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
74%
Under 2.5
75%
-0.3pp
26%
Over 2.5
25%
+0.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
36%
-0.9pp
65%
BTTS No
64%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Masr EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +10%
1.19/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.97
+0% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +50%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
17.8 Crosses 15.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Masr
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.22 xG 0.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
266 Passes 315
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.05.2025 Masr 0-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
28.01.2025 Smouha Smouha 2-1 HT 1-1 Masr MSR
17.01.2025 Smouha Smouha 1-0 Masr MSRK
09.05.2024 Smouha Smouha 1-2 HT 0-1 Masr MSR
28.10.2023 Masr 1-1 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
31.10.2020 Smouha Smouha 2-0 HT 2-0 Masr MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smouha
1-1
AWAY Masr
1.80 xG 0.44
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
270 Passes 339
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Smouha vs Masr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha and Masr couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (74%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Smouha had 46% of the ball to Masr's 54%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.80 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Smouha had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Smouha and 0.67 for Masr.

What was the final score of Smouha vs Masr?

Smouha 1-1 Masr in the Egypt - Premier League on 21/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs Masr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Smouha 37%, draw 32%, Masr 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Smouha), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Smouha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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