Merthyr Town 0-0 Gosport Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merthyr Town EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.87/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.68
+15% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merthyr Town
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Gosport Borough
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
03.02.2024 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 2-1 HT 0-1 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town İNGNLP
23.09.2023 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 1-4 HT 1-2 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
10.12.2022 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 2-3 HT 2-1 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
06.08.2022 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 3-2 HT 1-1 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town İNGNLP
19.03.2022 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
13.11.2021 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 5-0 HT 2-0 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Merthyr Town vs Gosport Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merthyr Town and Gosport Borough fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Merthyr Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gosport Borough led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Merthyr Town and 3.17 for Gosport Borough.

What was the final score of Merthyr Town vs Gosport Borough?

Merthyr Town 0-0 Gosport Borough in the England - Non League Premier on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merthyr Town vs Gosport Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merthyr Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Merthyr Town 46%, draw 24%, Gosport Borough 30%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Merthyr Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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