Spalding United 3-2 Biggleswade Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Sep 2024

Spalding United
3-2 HT 1-1
Biggleswade Town
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Spalding United vs Biggleswade Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spalding United v Biggleswade Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spalding United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Biggleswade Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.86
-100% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.7
POST-MATCH Spalding United vs Biggleswade Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spalding United squeezed past Biggleswade Town 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Spalding United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Spalding United vs Biggleswade Town?

Spalding United 3-2 Biggleswade Town in the England - Non League Premier on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spalding United vs Biggleswade Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Biggleswade Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Spalding United 35%, draw 28%, Biggleswade Town 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Biggleswade Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Biggleswade Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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