United of Manchester 1-1 Matlock Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.43
Over 2.5
44%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.1pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.2pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
38%
+18.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
62%
-18.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.1pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME United of Manchester EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.78/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.78
-5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +0%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
486 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME United of Manchester
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Matlock Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Matlock Town Matlock Town 3-0 HT 2-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
25.11.2023 United of Manchester United of Manchester 2-3 HT 0-2 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
04.02.2023 Matlock Town Matlock Town 1-0 HT 0-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
13.09.2022 United of Manchester United of Manchester 2-1 HT 1-1 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
26.02.2022 United of Manchester United of Manchester 1-1 HT 1-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
02.10.2021 Matlock Town Matlock Town 1-0 HT 0-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
POST-MATCH United of Manchester vs Matlock Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

United of Manchester and Matlock Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was United of Manchester at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matlock Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for United of Manchester and 1.67 for Matlock Town.

What was the final score of United of Manchester vs Matlock Town?

United of Manchester 1-1 Matlock Town in the England - Non League Premier on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for United of Manchester vs Matlock Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a United of Manchester win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split United of Manchester 48%, draw 28%, Matlock Town 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (United of Manchester) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (United of Manchester) ✓ Under 2.5
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