Matlock Town 3-0 United of Manchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.8pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY United of Manchester EU Bookmakers 40%
+14% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -3%
1.59/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.38
+0% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matlock Town
3W-1D-1L
AWAY United of Manchester
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 United of Manchester United of Manchester 2-3 HT 0-2 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
04.02.2023 Matlock Town Matlock Town 1-0 HT 0-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
13.09.2022 United of Manchester United of Manchester 2-1 HT 1-1 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
26.02.2022 United of Manchester United of Manchester 1-1 HT 1-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
02.10.2021 Matlock Town Matlock Town 1-0 HT 0-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Matlock Town vs United of Manchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matlock Town cruised past United of Manchester 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Matlock Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Matlock Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Matlock Town and 1.00 for United of Manchester.

What was the final score of Matlock Town vs United of Manchester?

Matlock Town 3-0 United of Manchester in the England - Non League Premier on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matlock Town vs United of Manchester?

Before kick-off our model rated an United of Manchester win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Matlock Town 35%, draw 26%, United of Manchester 39%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (United of Manchester) ✗ Under 2.5
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