Longford Town 3-0 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
17%
+8.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.6pp
49%
Away Win
62%
-12.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 66%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.83/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/1.03
-3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -20%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
233 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 479 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wexford Youths
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.06.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-2 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
27.04.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
16.04.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-2 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
25.09.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-0 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
01.07.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
19.05.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-3 HT 0-2 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Longford Town ran out comfortable winners over Wexford Youths 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Wexford Youths at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Longford Town and 1.50 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Wexford Youths?

Longford Town 3-0 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 26%, draw 25%, Wexford Youths 49%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Wexford Youths), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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