Bochum 2-2 Holstein Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 21 Sep 2024

Bochum
2-2 HT 2-1
Holstein Kiel
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Bochum vs Holstein Kiel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.51
Over 2.5
64%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.54
2-3 Goals
35%
2.01
4-5 Goals
30%
2.65
6+ Goals
17%
6.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.26
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
10%
4.64
X/2
10%
9.13
X/X
13%
5.89
2/1
10%
20.6
2/2
12%
5.83
2/X
5%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.4pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bochum v Holstein Kiel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.1 Crosses –
3.4 Yellow Cards –

Bochum vs Holstein Kiel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Holstein Kiel
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.33 xG 2.63
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
328 Passes 325
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.04.2021 Bochum Bochum 2-1 HT 1-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
04.12.2020 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 3-1 HT 1-1 Bochum Bochum AL2
27.05.2020 Bochum Bochum 2-1 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
25.10.2019 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 2-1 HT 1-1 Bochum Bochum AL2
23.02.2019 Bochum Bochum 1-3 HT 0-3 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
22.09.2018 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 2-2 HT 0-1 Bochum Bochum AL2

Bochum 2-2 Holstein Kiel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
2-2
AWAY Holstein Kiel
0.77 xG 1.87
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
255 Passes 334
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Holstein Kiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bochum and Holstein Kiel couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bochum at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Bochum had 44% of the ball to Holstein Kiel's 56%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.77 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bochum and 2.00 for Holstein Kiel.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Holstein Kiel?

Bochum 2-2 Holstein Kiel in the Germany - Bundesliga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Holstein Kiel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bochum win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bochum 44%, draw 24%, Holstein Kiel 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bochum) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bochum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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