Werder Bremen 0-5 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 21 Sep 2024

Werder Bremen
0-5 HT 0-2
Bayern Münih
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Werder Bremen vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
52%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.97
2-3 Goals
37%
2.19
4-5 Goals
28%
2.46
6+ Goals
16%
4.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
11.6
1/2
8%
19.05
1/X
6%
19.45
X/1
7%
17.4
X/2
21%
3.78
X/X
9%
8.83
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
1.53
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
19.8
Value flag · 2/X at 19.8 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
13%
+10.4pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.5pp
52%
Away Win
70%
-17.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Werder Bremen v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 75%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
0.91/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/1.16
-32% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -24%
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 576 · 86%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.2
16.8 Crosses 20.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Werder Bremen vs Bayern Münih Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.94 xG 2.74
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
263 Passes 590
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
14 Box Touches 41
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.01.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 0-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
18.08.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 0-4 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
06.05.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-2 HT 0-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
08.11.2022 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 6-1 HT 4-1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
13.03.2021 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-3 HT 0-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
21.11.2020 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-1 HT 0-1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1

Werder Bremen 0-5 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen
0-5
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.00 xG 3.02
30% Ball Possession 70%
0 Total Shots 25
0 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
283 Passes 779
79% Pass Accuracy 92%
10 Box Touches 58
8 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih ran out comfortable winners over Werder Bremen 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Werder Bremen had 30% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 70%, shots finished 0-25, expected goals 0.00 to 3.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Werder Bremen and 2.67 for Bayern Münih.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs Bayern Münih?

Werder Bremen 0-5 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen 24%, draw 24%, Bayern Münih 52%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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