Heidenheim vs Freiburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heidenheim v Freiburg — Team-Based Signals
Heidenheim vs Freiburg Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-1
Freiburg
AL1
2-0
HT 0-0
Heidenheim
AL2
1-2
HT 1-1
Freiburg
AL2
Heidenheim 0-3 Freiburg — Actual Match Statistics
Freiburg cruised past Heidenheim 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Freiburg found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Heidenheim had 42% of the ball to Freiburg's 58%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.68 to 1.39.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Freiburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Heidenheim and 1.75 for Freiburg.
What was the final score of Heidenheim vs Freiburg?
Heidenheim 0-3 Freiburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heidenheim vs Freiburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Heidenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 38%, draw 28%, Freiburg 34%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.