Freiburg vs Heidenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Freiburg v Heidenheim — Team-Based Signals
Freiburg vs Heidenheim Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-1
Freiburg
AL1
2-0
HT 0-0
Heidenheim
AL2
1-2
HT 1-1
Freiburg
AL2
Freiburg 1-1 Heidenheim — Actual Match Statistics
Freiburg and Heidenheim couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Freiburg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Freiburg had 56% of the ball to Heidenheim's 44%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.54 to 0.66.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Freiburg had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Freiburg and 1.33 for Heidenheim.
What was the final score of Freiburg vs Heidenheim?
Freiburg 1-1 Heidenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Freiburg vs Heidenheim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 46%, draw 26%, Heidenheim 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Freiburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.