Mönchengladbach 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 11 May 2024

Mönchengladbach
1-1 HT 1-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Mönchengladbach vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
29%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
7.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.58
1/2
8%
24.45
1/X
10%
12.7
X/1
16%
5.89
X/2
8%
5.67
X/X
10%
5.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
16%
3.39
2/X
6%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.3pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mönchengladbach v Eintracht Frankfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.45/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.33
-2% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 80%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
17.0 Crosses 17.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Mönchengladbach vs Eintracht Frankfurt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.39 xG 1.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
368 Passes 404
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.12.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 HT 0-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
15.04.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 HT 0-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
22.10.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-3 HT 0-3 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
08.05.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 HT 0-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
15.12.2021 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-3 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
17.04.2021 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 4-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1

Mönchengladbach 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
1-1
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
0.43 xG 1.59
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
349 Passes 448
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 48
10 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach and Eintracht Frankfurt couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mönchengladbach at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Mönchengladbach had 44% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 56%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.43 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Frankfurt led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mönchengladbach and 1.67 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Mönchengladbach 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - Bundesliga on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mönchengladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 41%, draw 27%, Eintracht Frankfurt 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mönchengladbach), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mönchengladbach) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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