Holstein Kiel U19 3-2 BAK 07 U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.68
Over 2.5
62%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.28
No
39%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-6.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+14.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-14.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
74%
-13.1pp
39%
BTTS No
26%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel U19 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY BAK 07 U19 EU Bookmakers 43%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-9% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
406 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel U19 vs BAK 07 U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel U19 squeezed past BAK 07 U19 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Holstein Kiel U19 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel U19 vs BAK 07 U19?

Holstein Kiel U19 3-2 BAK 07 U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel U19 vs BAK 07 U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstein Kiel U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel U19 42%, draw 26%, BAK 07 U19 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holstein Kiel U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holstein Kiel U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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