VfB Stuttgart U19 3-3 Elversberg U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
4.0
Over 2.5
74%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
81%
-16.2pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.7pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.4pp
26%
Under 2.5
22%
+4.4pp
74%
Over 2.5
78%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Stuttgart U19 EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Elversberg U19 EU Bookmakers 11%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-9% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH VfB Stuttgart U19 vs Elversberg U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VfB Stuttgart U19 and Elversberg U19 shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had VfB Stuttgart U19 at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of VfB Stuttgart U19 vs Elversberg U19?

VfB Stuttgart U19 3-3 Elversberg U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Stuttgart U19 vs Elversberg U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a VfB Stuttgart U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split VfB Stuttgart U19 65%, draw 19%, Elversberg U19 17%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VfB Stuttgart U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VfB Stuttgart U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALU19 More Germany - U19 Bundesliga
21 Sep 2024
00:00 Viktoria Köln U19 vs Borussia Mgladbach U19 Analysis →
12:00 Ingolstadt U19 vs 1860 München U19 Analysis →
12:00 Holstein Kiel U19 vs BAK 07 U19 Analysis →
14:00 Arminia Bielefeld U19 vs Hannover 96 U19 Analysis →
15:00 Union Berlin U19 vs Hamburger SV U19 Analysis →