Ingolstadt U19 1-2 1860 München U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.3pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt U19 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München U19 EU Bookmakers 28%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +68% / +68%
1.21/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-48% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +101%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt U19
0W-1D-1L
AWAY 1860 München U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
24.02.2024 Ingolstadt U19 Ingolstadt U19 1-2 HT 0-1 1860 München U19 1860 München U19 ALU19
17.09.2023 1860 München U19 1860 München U19 1-1 HT 1-1 Ingolstadt U19 Ingolstadt U19 ALU19
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt U19 vs 1860 München U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München U19 edged past Ingolstadt U19 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ingolstadt U19 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, 1860 München U19 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ingolstadt U19 and 1.50 for 1860 München U19.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt U19 vs 1860 München U19?

Ingolstadt U19 1-2 1860 München U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt U19 vs 1860 München U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt U19 48%, draw 24%, 1860 München U19 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ingolstadt U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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