Union Berlin U19 4-1 Hamburger SV U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.63
Over 2.5
64%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
34%
+2.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
66%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.8pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Berlin U19 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburger SV U19 EU Bookmakers 34%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.49/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
-28% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Berlin U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hamburger SV U19
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
21.04.2024 Union Berlin U19 Union Berlin U19 3-0 HT 1-0 Hamburger SV U19 Hamburger SV U19 ALU19
POST-MATCH Union Berlin U19 vs Hamburger SV U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Berlin U19 ran out comfortable winners over Hamburger SV U19 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Berlin U19 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Union Berlin U19 vs Hamburger SV U19?

Union Berlin U19 4-1 Hamburger SV U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Berlin U19 vs Hamburger SV U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin U19 45%, draw 22%, Hamburger SV U19 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Berlin U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Berlin U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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