Naesby vs Holbaek Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naesby v Holbaek — Team-Based Signals
Naesby vs Holbaek Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-0
Naesby
DAN3
0-2
HT 0-2
Naesby
DAN2
2-2
HT 0-1
Holbaek
DAN2
Naesby 2-3 Holbaek — Actual Match Statistics
Holbaek squeezed past Naesby 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Naesby at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Naesby had 53% of the ball to Holbaek's 47%, shots finished 9-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Naesby had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Naesby and 2.00 for Holbaek.
What was the final score of Naesby vs Holbaek?
Naesby 2-3 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naesby vs Holbaek?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Naesby 50%, draw 24%, Holbaek 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.