Lille 3-3 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.78
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.97
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.1
X/1
15%
3.77
X/2
11%
10.95
X/X
11%
5.71
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
13%
8.48
2/X
8%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
59%
-13.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lille EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.92/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.51
-7% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
438 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
18.4 Crosses 14.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lille
5W-0D-1L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.56 xG 0.74
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
435 Passes 305
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 Lille Lille 1-0 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
20.12.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-1 HT 1-1 Lille Lille FR1
12.02.2023 Lille Lille 2-0 HT 2-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
14.10.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-3 HT 0-1 Lille Lille FR1
24.04.2022 Lille Lille 1-0 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
25.09.2021 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-2 HT 0-1 Lille Lille FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lille
3-3
AWAY RC Strasbourg
2.75 xG 3.23
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 5
499 Passes 261
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lille vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille and RC Strasbourg shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lille at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Lille had 64% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 36%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.75 to 3.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lille and 0.50 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Lille vs RC Strasbourg?

Lille 3-3 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lille vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lille 45%, draw 26%, RC Strasbourg 29%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lille) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lille) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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