Reims 1-1 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 21 Sep 2024

Reims
1-1 HT 1-0
PSG
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Reims vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
56%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.24
2-3 Goals
43%
1.98
4-5 Goals
25%
2.71
6+ Goals
13%
6.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.99
1/2
6%
20.05
1/X
7%
18.15
X/1
9%
14.0
X/2
12%
3.74
X/X
8%
7.27
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
38%
1.7
2/X EV+ ✗
8%
17.9
Value flag · 2/X at 17.9 — our 8% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.6pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
56%
Away Win
66%
-9.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Reims v PSG — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reims EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG EU Bookmakers 70%
+10% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +18%
1.02/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.26
-11% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +5%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
296 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 86%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
15.6 Crosses 14.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Reims vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reims
0W-3D-3L
AWAY PSG
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 1.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
306 Passes 605
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
23 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.03.2024 PSG PSG 2-2 HT 2-2 Reims Reims FR1
11.11.2023 Reims Reims 0-3 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
29.01.2023 PSG PSG 1-1 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
08.10.2022 Reims Reims 0-0 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
23.01.2022 PSG PSG 4-0 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR1
29.08.2021 Reims Reims 0-2 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1

Reims 1-1 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reims
1-1
AWAY PSG
0.31 xG 1.59
22% Ball Possession 78%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
159 Passes 757
73% Pass Accuracy 94%
9 Box Touches 38
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Reims vs PSG
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reims and PSG couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had PSG at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Reims had 22% of the ball to PSG's 78%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.31 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Reims and 2.00 for PSG.

What was the final score of Reims vs PSG?

Reims 1-1 PSG in the France - Ligue 1 on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reims vs PSG?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Reims 21%, draw 23%, PSG 56%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSG) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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