Utrecht vs Willem II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Utrecht v Willem II — Team-Based Signals
Utrecht vs Willem II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Utrecht
HOL
5-1
HT 2-1
Willem II
HOL
3-2
HT 2-0
Willem II
HOL
0-6
HT 0-3
Utrecht
HOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Utrecht
HOL
2-0
HT 0-0
Willem II
HOL
Utrecht 3-2 Willem II — Actual Match Statistics
Utrecht squeezed past Willem II 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Utrecht as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Utrecht had 54% of the ball to Willem II's 46%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.33 to 0.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Utrecht and 1.17 for Willem II.
What was the final score of Utrecht vs Willem II?
Utrecht 3-2 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Utrecht vs Willem II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 55%, draw 24%, Willem II 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.